Paying for Reform – Updated

I was asked recently, how will we pay for reform. Tom Coburn, on Sermo.com, asked physicains to support him not supporting us physicians in asking for repeal of SGR with its $250 billion dollar price tag. I don’t know when he had this sudden change of heart, feeling physicians should not get paid more for Medicare patients, but hey…

The other question was about the overall price tag of HR 3200, somewhere in the neighborhood of $100 billion a year, or $1 trillion over ten years.

[Cross posted at DailyKos.]
No problem. First and best answer: REPEAL THE BUSH TAX CUTS!
http://www.usnews.com/blogs/john-farrell/2009/04/15/no-tea-party-protests-for-teddy-roosevelt-republican-champion-of-the-income-tax.html

They were bad economics, bad public policy, and bad morally.

UPDATE: Susie Madrak at Crooks and Liars summarizes a Citizens for Tax Justice report on the disaster that the Bush Tax cuts were and are:

I’d advise listening to the two EXCELLENT “This American Life” episodes on HC reform:
http://cmhmd.blogspot.com/2009/10/this-american-life-hc-reform-part-2.html

Follow the links, download the MP3’s and you can make audio CDs for the car.

There are lots of answers in there, but I’ll give you a few easy ones:

1.) McAllen, TX and EOL Care:

http://cmhmd.blogspot.com/2009/05/annals-of-medicine-cost-conundrum.html

That’s actually two, practice variation and EOL care.

2.) Prescription co-pays: $10 for a $20 prescription, $30 for a $600 prescription. (Unless you have a coupon from the manufacturer to make the $30 copay $0.00 – the second TAL episode explains this.)

3.) George Lundberg has a few ideas:
http://cmhmd.blogspot.com/2009/08/health-care-blog-how-to-rein-in-medical.html

4.) Uwe Reinhardt has a modest proposal:
http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2009/07/24/a-modest-proposal-on-payment-reform/

5.) Wendell Potter, too:
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1920893,00.html

6.) Administrative costs:
http://cmhmd.blogspot.com/2009/07/health-affairs-2-articles-on-cost-of.html

Bottom line is, as has been suggested before, passing the bill is going to be half the battle, implementing reform in a way that is most beneficial to patients at the least cost to us as a society is next up.

But let’s get everyone taken care of first, and avoid the 18K to 45K people dying EVERY YEAR due to lack of access to health care and THEN we’ll deal with reducing costs. Turns out, if you read the Gawande article, they may be by doing the exact same things.

And finally, $1 trillion over ten years is $100 billion a year, and we spend $2.5 trillion a year on HC already, so that is very little money in the grand scheme of national economics. So, as Uwe would say, “Go explain to God why you cannot do this. He will laugh at you.”

Cheers,http://cdn.crooksandliars.com/files/uploads/2009/09/nationaldebt_42d6b.jpg

This American Life HC Reform Part 2

This American Life:

This week, we bring you a deeper look inside the health insurance industry. The dark side of prescription drug coupons. A story about Pet Health Insurance, which is in its infancy, and how it is changing human behaviors—for example, if you have the pet health insurance, you bring your pet to the vet more often, and the vet makes more money and…well, you can see the parallels. And insurance company jargon, frighteningly decoded.

Prologue. Host Ira Glass describes the crazy world of medical billing, where armies of coders use several contradictory different systems of codes…and none of it makes us healthier. (5 minutes)

Act One. One Pill Two Pill, Red Pill Blue Pill.
Planet Money’s Chana Joffe-Walt explains why prescription drug coupons could actually be increasing how much we pay, and prevent us from even telling how much drugs cost. (13 1/2 minutes)

Act Two. Let’s Take Your Medical History.
Alex Blumberg and Adam Davidson recount how four accidental steps led to enacting the very questionable system of employers paying for health care. (11 1/2 minutes)

Act Three. Insurance? Ruh Roh!
Planet Money correspondent David Kestenbaum investigates the growing popularity of pet
insurance, and what it reveals about insurance for people. (14 minutes )

Act Four. Sorry Johnny… It’s Only Business.
This American Life producer Sarah Koenig reports on a very surprising reason why insurance companies dump members, and how this reasoning contradicts President Obama’s argument for what will lower health care costs. (11 1/2 minutes)

Again, a very interesting program to follow up on last week’s episode.

In Act IV, the interview with Uwe Reinhardt is very thought provoking. Specifically, he talks about the power of suppliers (i.e., hospitals) in the insurer-provider tug of war, and about Maryland’s “All Payer System,” which I will try to learn more about and pass along when I do…

MP3 of Part 2

MP3 of Part 1 is not offered directly at the website. You can subscribe to the podcast and then download yourself here: http://feeds.thisamericanlife.org/talpodcast

Facts About Healthcare Costs – National Coalition on Health Care

NCHC Facts About Healthcare – Health Insurance Costs:

In 2008, total national health expenditures were expected to rise 6.9 percent — two times the rate of inflation.1 Total spending was $2.4 TRILLION in 2007, or $7900 per person. Total health care spending represented 17 percent of the gross domestic product (GDP).

U.S. health care spending is expected to increase at similar levels for the next decade reaching $4.3 TRILLION in 2017, or 20 percent of GDP.1

In 2008, employer health insurance premiums increased by 5.0 percent – two times the rate of inflation. The annual premium for an employer health plan covering a family of four averaged nearly $12,700. The annual premium for single coverage averaged over $4,700.2

…………….

National Health Care Spending

In 2008, health care spending in the United States reached $2.4 trillion, and was projected to reach $3.1 trillion in 2012.1 Health care spending is projected to reach $4.3 trillion by 2016.1
Health care spending is 4.3 times the amount spent on national defense.3

In 2008, the United States will spend 17 percent of its gross domestic product (GDP) on health care. It is projected that the percentage will reach 20 percent by 2017.1

Although nearly 46 million Americans are uninsured, the United States spends more on health care than other industrialized nations, and those countries provide health insurance to all their citizens.3

Health care spending accounted for 10.9 percent of the GDP in Switzerland, 10.7 percent in Germany, 9.7 percent in Canada and 9.5 percent in France, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.4

Employer and Employee Health Insurance Costs

Premiums for employer-based health insurance rose by 5.0 percent in 2008. In 2007, small employers saw their premiums, on average, increase 5.5 percent. Firms with less than 24 workers, experienced an increase of 6.8 percent.2

The annual premium that a health insurer charges an employer for a health plan covering a family of four averaged $12,700 in 2008. Workers contributed nearly $3,400, or 12 percent more than they did in 2007.2 The annual premiums for family coverage significantly eclipsed the gross earnings for a full-time, minimum-wage worker ($10,712).

Workers are now paying $1,600 more in premiums annually for family coverage than they did in 1999.2

Since 1999, employment-based health insurance premiums have increased 120 percent, compared to cumulative inflation of 44 percent and cumulative wage growth of 29 percent during the same period.2

Health insurance expenses are the fastest growing cost component for employers. Unless something changes dramatically, health insurance costs will overtake profits by the end of 2008.5

According to the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research and Educational Trust, premiums for employer-sponsored health insurance in the United States have been rising four times faster on average than workers’ earnings since 1999.2

The average employee contribution to company-provided health insurance has increased more than 120 percent since 2000. Average out-of-pocket costs for deductibles, co-payments for medications, and co-insurance for physician and hospital visits rose 115 percent during the same period.6

The percentage of Americans under age 65 whose family-level, out-of-pocket spending for health care, including health insurance, that exceeds $2,000 a year, rose from 37.3 percent in 1996 to 43.1 percent in 2003 – a 16 percent increase.7

The Impact of Rising Health Care Costs

National surveys show that the primary reason people are uninsured is the high cost of health insurance coverage.2

Economists have found that rising health care costs correlate to drops in health insurance coverage.8

A recent study by Harvard University researchers found that the average out-of-pocket medical debt for those who filed for bankruptcy was $12,000. The study noted that 68 percent of those who filed for bankruptcy had health insurance. In addition, the study found that 50 percent of all bankruptcy filings were partly the result of medical expenses.9 Every 30 seconds in the United States someone files for bankruptcy in the aftermath of a serious health problem.

A new survey shows that more than 25 percent said that housing problems resulted from medical debt, including the inability to make rent or mortgage payments and the development of bad credit ratings.10

About 1.5 million families lose their homes to foreclosure every year due to unaffordable medical costs. 11

A survey of Iowa consumers found that in order to cope with rising health insurance costs, 86 percent said they had cut back on how much they could save, and 44 percent said that they have cut back on food and heating expenses.12

Retiring elderly couples will need $250,000 in savings just to pay for the most basic medical coverage.13 Many experts believe that this figure is conservative and that $300,000 may be a more realistic number.

According to a recent report, the United States has $480 billion in excess spending each year in comparison to Western European nations that have universal health insurance coverage. The costs are mainly associated with excess administrative costs and poorer quality of care.14

The United States spends six times more per capita on the administration of the health care system than its peer Western European nations.14

Acrobat version with references is here.

Health Affairs – 2 articles on the cost of private insurers to the system

Two articles from Health Affairs regarding the cost of Private Health Insurers, for profit and not for profit, to physicians’ practices, bottom lines, time and aggravation.

Peering Into The Black Box: Billing And Insurance Activities In A Medical Group — Sakowski et al. 28 (4): w544 — Health Affairs:

“Billing and insurance–related functions have been reported to consume 14 percent of medical group revenue, but little is known about the costs associated with performing specific activities. We conducted semistructured interviews, observed work flows, analyzed department budgets, and surveyed clinicians to evaluate these activities at a large multispecialty medical group. We identified 0.67 nonclinical full-time-equivalent (FTE) staff working on billing and insurance functions per FTE physician. In addition, clinicians spent more than thirty-five minutes per day performing these tasks. The cost to medical groups, including clinicians’ time, was at least $85,276 per FTE physician (10 percent of revenue).”

What Does It Cost Physician Practices To Interact With Health Insurance Plans? — Casalino et al. 28 (4): w533 — Health Affairs: “Physicians have long expressed dissatisfaction with the time they and their staffs spend interacting with health plans. However, little information exists about the extent of these interactions. We conducted a national survey on this subject of physicians and practice administrators. Physicians reported spending three hours weekly interacting with plans; nursing and clerical staff spent much larger amounts of time. When time is converted to dollars, we estimate that the national time cost to practices of interactions with plans is at least $23 billion to $31 billion each year.”

Snapshots: Health Care Spending in the United States and OECD Countries – Kaiser Family Foundation

Snapshots: Health Care Spending in the United States and OECD Countries – Kaiser Family Foundation:

“Health spending is rising faster than incomes in most developed countries, which raises questions about how these countries will pay for future health care needs. The issue may be particularly acute in the United States, which not only spends much more per capita on health care than any other country, but which also has had one of the fastest growth rates in health spending among developed countries. Despite this higher level of spending, the United States does not achieve better outcomes on many important health measures. This paper uses information from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)1 to compare the level and growth rate of health care spending in the United States with other OECD countries. In an increasingly competitive international economy, policymakers in the United States will need to be aware of how the health spending and spending growth in the United States compares to that of other nations.”

McKinsey: What Matters: Way too much for way too little

McKinsey: What Matters: Way too much for way too little

The title says it all. A great review of the American health care non-system.

Goes over administrative waste (83 cents of premium dollars go to actual health care at most in PHI market), outcomes, costs and prices, administrative burden, practice variation, and rationing (QALY’s CER).

Some good response letters as well.

COST: Is This What They Went to Med School For? | New America Blogs

COST: Is This What They Went to Med School For? New America Blogs:

Excellent summary by Joanne Kenen at New America:

“Two new studies released this week online by Health Affairs examine how health care providers, particularly physician practices, interact with insurers. One study found that doctors personally spend the equivalent of three full weeks a year on billing and related insurance information. The overall cost to their practices (their time as well as other medical and clerical personnel) was about $31 billion a year (in 2006)—which as study author Larry Casalino noted, was about six times what we spent at the time on the State Children’s Health Insurance Program and nearly 7 percent of total national expenses on physician and clinical services. Primary care practices spent more time on these administrative tasks than specialists. Very little of the data—only about two hours a year for the doctor—pertained to quality data.

“The second study looked at the billing and insurance-related activities at one large multi-site, multi-specialty California group practice. The cost (in physician and clerical time) turned out to be $85,276 per physician, or 10 percent of operating revenue. (And that excluded the time the doctors spent recording procedure and diagnosis codes). And this California practice isn’t bogged down in paper; they already use electronic medical records for both clinical and billing data. (Some older studies, before medicine began its slow and not always so steady migration to Health IT, showed even more time and money spent on administration in the days of pure paper.)”

Additionally, from the second paper:

Impact of complexity. Previous reports have suggested that the complexity inherent in the current multipayer financing system is responsible for increasing the administrative burden associated with medical groups’ transaction processing.15 During our interviews, informants frequently described the contributions of complexity in the payment system to billing and insurance burden. For example, the patient population of our study site is covered by hundreds of insurance plans, each with its own rules about benefits covered and under what conditions, payment rates, and often billing procedures. This complexity adds burden to billing and insurance tasks, including procedure coding, drug formulary authorizations, discussions with patients, submission and appeal processes, and receipt of payments. The complexity also increases the chance for error and dispute, increasing the likelihood of payment follow-up and collections. Even high-deductible plans, which might appear to avoid administrative burden for initial services during the year, impose billing/insurance costs because each service, including those within the patients’ deductibles, must be evaluated and processed.

I’ve also classified this under Physician Income and Physician Autonomy, because these burdensome duties and their concomitant expenses impact both significantly. If you think your PHIs are paying you more than Medicare, you need to factor this into the equation.

A national healthcare reform primer – Los Angeles Times

A national healthcare reform primer – Los Angeles Times

The cost of covering the uninsured ultimately will depend on the number of people included, the specific benefits they receive, and the amount of financial help the taxpayers would provide. The only agreement among economists who study the issue is that the tab would be a big one:* $200 billion to $250 billion a year, says Joe Antos of the conservative American Enterprise Institute.* $150 billion to $175 billion a year, says Len M. Nichols of the liberal New America Foundation.

According to CMS, we spent $2.1 Trillion on all of health care with costs rising rapidly. So even using AEI’s numbers, this only represents a 10% increase to cover all Americans.

Regardless of what happens, will I be able to keep the insurance I have now?

LA Times answers: “Almost certainly” and “Further, most people get their coverage at work, and this would continue.”

Which is too bad. Given the choice between keeping my $15 K a year policy and buying into a public policy (Medicare – like, if not Medicare) at lower cost, with less red tape, no pre-approvals, fighting for benefits and on and on, I believe most would choose the public option after it has shown its stuff. But if a public option is put out there, it allows the transition to begin away from bloated private insurers as they will have to compete with public policies.


If I don’t have health insurance, would I have to buy it if an agreement on reform is reached?

This is the tricky mandate issue. Advocates say you can’t cover everyone unless you make everyone buy a policy.Although nobody from the administration is using the “M” word these days — a mandate would represent a big expansion of government authority — many believe it is the logical way to go. So do Democratic leaders in Congress.Before such a mandate could become law, however, Congress would have to decide the amount of financial subsidies to help people pay for their coverage. Most people without health insurance work full-time and earn less than $30,000 a year. Meanwhile, the average policy for a family of four under job-based coverage cost $12,680 last year, with the employer paying $9,325, according to figures compiled by the Kaiser Family Foundation. Coverage for an individual through work cost $4,704, with the employer paying $3,983.A decision on a mandate would also involve intense negotiations between the government and the insurance industry over the terms and details of coverage.

The industry has indicated it’s willing to deliver “guaranteed issue” (nobody gets turned down) in return for a law requiring mandatory purchase of insurance.The National Assn of Insurance Commissioners has proposed a model act for the states as a way to control costs. It says that the highest rates for any age group should be no more than 400% of the lowest rate charged to any group.

This would be reduced to 300% two years after the law is passed, then to 200% after five years. That would mean a 63-year-old living in San Diego, for example, could not be charged more than double the rate paid by a 25-year-old in Santa Monica.Price differences and subsidies are crucial. It would be meaningless to have the guaranteed right to buy health insurance if you make $30,000 a year, have high blood pressure and diabetes, and a policy would cost you $10,000.

Well explained. I don’t think it is “tricky,” as there must be guaranteed insurance for all and none can be left out or much savings gained by easy access to primary care is lost.

If I have a business, would I have to buy coverage for my workers?

The answer to this question may determine the success or failure of health reform efforts.

I’m a de-linker in the sense I don’t think insurance should be linked to income and, if you like the deep economics of it, ALL benefits are from wages anyway, so if you want to do like Germny and others,you could use a payroll tax specifically for this purpose. This will cause lots of sturm and drang, however.

Would there be some help for older workers who don’t have coverage on the job and can’t afford an individual policy?

Perhaps.

Again, if we don’t get everyone in, it is not very “universal”, is it? I don’t know enough about the mind set of Congress to make a prediction, but how would the people who are just beginnning to enter their health care using years not be central to the solution?

Might there be a public health insurance plan?

This idea, backed by the president, would create for the first time a public insurance plan to compete with the myriad plans offered by private-industry insurers. The plan would be designed to provide a benchmark for quality coverage, with a basic package of comprehensive benefits. The Obama health plan issued during the presidential election campaign envisioned that millions of the 47 million uninsured would move into a public plan.

To quote Helen Hunt in, “As Good As It Gets,” “I hope, I hope, I hope, I hope.”

How can the country pay for a reworking of its health insurance system?

A nice discussion of some potential savings. This will cause a lots of discussion, but I would go back to the top of the article and point out that even the AEI’s estimates (which I admittedly have not read) which I expect are all worst case scenarios, estimates only a 10% or so increase in costs. I happen to be one who believes that the waste in our system is at least 30% and that in perhaps 5 years we will begin to see those savings. But, even if it costs more, it is the right thing to do.

Their bottom line:

If Obama can figure out a way to persuade Congress to expand coverage to millions of uninsured people, while keeping those with coverage happy, it will be a feat of political magic that has eluded presidents for decades.

I agree. It is up to us to make not doing the right thing a very unattractive option.

Cheers,

A Public Health Insurance Plan | OurFuture.org

A Public Health Insurance Plan OurFuture.org:

As the ball rolls along in our debate, one thing that keeps coming up is the idea that everyone must have insurance. Being forced to buy insurance from a private insurer ($15K a year at our house – from a “not-for-profit” !) is obviously not an option for most, especially considering the median family income is only about $60K. Medicare spends anywhere from $6K to $14K per enrollee (65 and over, mind you). So can a public option be the solution?

Here are the key findings of the report, but you can click the link above to get the full report, an executive summary and a PowerPoint show.

The report contains these findings:
• Medicare has controlled health care costs much better than have private health insurers over the last 25 years.
• The private insurance market is highly consolidated and needs competition from a public health insurance plan to lower skyrocketing premiums.
• Administrative costs are dramatically lower under public health insurance plans,
resulting in enormous savings to the system.
• The bargaining power of public health insurance plans significantly reduces provider costs.
• In a head-to-head competition, the public Medicare plan is much better at containing costs than private Medicare Advantage plans.
• Independent analyses show substantial savings can be achieved from a public health insurance plan that competes with private insurance plans.
• Quality and effectiveness innovations occurring under the public Medicare plan show that public health insurance plans have greater potential to drive the quality revolution than do private plans.
• Public health insurance plans increase choice, competition and accountability.